Cement Energy Environment

43 Innovative and emerging technology Key Indicators for the Brazilian Cement Industry by 2050 The viability of innovative and emerging technology would reduce around 38 Mt of CO 2 or 9% of cumulative mitigation of CO 2 emissions by 2050 in the “2˚C Scenario”, in comparison with the “6˚C Scenario”. Key message: Carbon capture, an alternative still emerging for the mitigation of CO 2 , emissions, would become viable for the Brazilian cement industry only after 2040. Source: IEA modelling developed for this project. © OCECD/IEA, 2016 Note: Values shown are for low-demand variants of the scenarios. Alternative fuel use includes biomass as well as renewable and non-renewable waste. Electricity intensity of cement production does not include reduction in the demand for purchased electricity from waste heat recovery equipment or electricity used in carbon capture equipment. Direct CO 2 intensity refers to net CO 2 emissions, after carbon capture. Source: IEA modelling developed for this project. © OCECD/IEA, 2016 Figure 9: Carbon captured by the cement industry in the “2°C Scenario”. CO 2 Captured (Mt) 2014 3,70 3,50 3,30 3,10 2,90 2,70 2020 2030 2040 1,7 3,3 2050 Table 3 : Key indicators for the Brazillian cement industry by 2050 Cement production [Mt] Clinker factor [clinker to cement ratio] Thermal intensity [GJ/t clinker] Electrical intensity [kWh/t cement] Alternative fuel use [% of thermal substitution rate] CCUS [Mt CO 2 /year] Gross emission [Mt CO 2 /year] Emission intensity [t CO 2 /t cement] 2014 71 0.67 3.50 113 15% - 40 0.56 2020 62 0.66 3.49 110 22% - 34 0.53 2030 87 0.59 3.47 106 35% - 42 0.48 2040 126 0.54 3.38 95 45% 1.7 52 0.41 2050 117 0.52 3.22 91 55% 3.3 44 0.38 2°C 2020 62 0.67 3.50 111 15% - 35 0.56 2030 87 0.67 3.49 108 15% - 49 0.56 2040 126 0.67 3.46 101 15% - 71 0.56 2050 117 0.67 3.44 99 15% - 66 0.56 6°C

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